Analysis: Market size is predicted to reach $95.5 billion by 2035, with a projected CAGR of nearly 47%.
BlockBeats News, December 29, 2025: The prediction market is at a key turning point. The weekly trading volume of major platforms like Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Myriad has surpassed $2 billion, transforming rapidly from a previously uncertain regulatory status to a vital new infrastructure in the crypto and finance market.
Looking back at the end of 2024, the U.S. election became a turning point for the prediction market. Polymarket accurately bet on Trump's victory in the presidential election, setting record-high trading volumes and influence, but also facing regulatory pressures such as being banned in France and investigated by the FBI. Subsequently, the U.S. CFTC changed its stance, openly reflecting on the regulatory approach that had led to the "legal uncertainty trap" and clearing obstacles for platforms like Kalshi.
Entering post-2025, the prediction market quickly went mainstream:
Robinhood teamed up with Kalshi to launch the NCAA "March Madness" prediction market
Polymarket invested $112 million to acquire the CFTC-licensed exchange QCX, paving the way to re-enter the U.S. market
ICE (NYSE's parent company) invested $2 billion, pushing Polymarket's valuation to $90 billion
The Trump Media Group and Crypto.com launched Truth Predict
CNN, CNBC, Google, NHL, among others, partnered with Kalshi
Industry reports predict that the prediction market could reach $95.5 billion in 2035, with a nearly 47% compound annual growth rate. Meanwhile, emerging platforms like Limitless, Myriad saw multi-fold growth in trading volume within months. While regulatory friction persists in states like Texas and New York, it has not been able to stop the industry's expansion.
Industry insiders point out that the prediction market is akin to the early days of DeFi, with the ecosystem built around it, including trading terminals, data aggregation, collateral applications, taking shape.
You may also like

The large models in the United States are moving towards closure in the name of security

Morning Report | CoinEx becomes a key hub for Iran to evade sanctions, involving over $3.8 billion in funds; Kalshi seeks a new round of financing, with a valuation potentially rising to $40 billion

From the white-haired stock god to the billionaire fund mogul, the smart people shorting Nvidia are all getting rich using the same framework

Why do cryptocurrency projects always like to change their names?

Global Launch: As predictions become the most scarce asset in the AI era, Manadia is defining the next generation of the value internet

Who is footing the bill for the $64 billion accounting frenzy?

I never expected that the first application of AI x Crypto would be in security auditing

What is your view on Binance's competitive advantages?

ETH has entered a non-consensus phase, and the turning point is approaching!

The shift in the cloud of the air: from despising stablecoins a year ago to the high-profile entry of capital today

The survival dilemma of small and medium exchanges behind the withdrawal anomalies exposed by AscendEX

Why Is Bitcoin Falling Below $60K? 5 Key Market Drivers Explained
Bitcoin has dropped sharply amid ETF outflows, Strategy stock weakness, AI stock rallies, and changing Fed expectations. Explore the key forces driving BTC’s latest correction and what traders should watch next.

Bitcoin vs. Gold in 2026: Which Asset Performs Better in Different Markets?

Morning News | The draft amendment to the People's Bank of China Law aims to clarify the legal status of digital renminbi; South Korea will transfer about 40 unregistered virtual asset service providers to law enforcement agencies

The cryptocurrency industry has entered the "Show Me" era: merely relying on vision is no longer enough

Interpreting the Ethereum Foundation's new structure: Reaffirming self-sovereignty amid institutional trends

Former SpaceX engineer reconstructs the financial execution system using first principles




