Pentagon Pizza Index Soars 1250%: Who Will Be the Next Venezuela?

Original Title: "Pentagon Pizza Index Surges 1250%: Who Will Be the Next Venezuela?"

Original Author: jk, Odaily Planet Daily

On January 7, 2026, a seemingly absurd yet consistently accurate intelligence indicator sparked global attention. According to social media monitoring, the pizza orders near the Pentagon surged by 1250% in the past 48 hours, nearly double the 700% surge on the eve of the Venezuelan military operation. This is the "Pentagon Pizza Index," a magical indicator, and the underlying implication is that the United States is brewing a new military action.

Pizza Orders and Military Intelligence?

The concept of the Pentagon Pizza Index can be traced back to 1990 when Frank Meeks, the owner of a Domino's Pizza shop in the Washington area, noticed a peculiar phenomenon: on the night of August 1, 1990, the CIA ordered a record 21 pizzas, and the next day, Iraq invaded Kuwait.

And this pattern repeated:

· Before the Panama operation in December 1989, the order volume surged from 30-35 to over 100;

· During the Clinton impeachment hearing and the Iraq "Desert Fox" operation in December 1998, the White House's additional cheese pizza orders increased by 32%.

The logic behind this is very simple: during high-pressure crises, Department of Defense (now the Department of War, Trump renamed it) staff often need to work continuously for 16-20 hours, and pizza, being cheap, filling, and easy to deliver, becomes the preferred overtime food.

Today, there is already a dedicated website monitoring six pizza shops near the Pentagon in real-time, including Papa John's and Domino's, among others. Today, all the data on this website is showing crazy multiples, ranging from 150% to 1250%.

What about before the Venezuelan operation?

In the early hours of January 3, 2026, the US military launched a raid in Caracas, the capital of Venezuela, successfully capturing President Maduro and his wife. And in the hours leading up to the operation, the Papa John's near the Pentagon experienced an unusually busy scene.

This was not a sudden military action. Since August 2025, the United States has been conducting a large-scale military buildup in the Caribbean: August: Deployment of the "Sulfur Island" Expeditionary Strike Group has arrived; November: Arrival of the "Ford" Carrier Strike Group; a total of approximately 15,000 US military personnel, marking the largest military deployment in the region in generations. As a result, Pentagon staff are working overtime, causing all nearby pizza shops to also work overtime.

1250% Surge: Who Is the Next Target?

The latest data from Sunday night shows that a Papa John's pizza shop 2.3 miles from the Pentagon experienced a 476% surge in activity, while the closer Extreme Pizza saw a 200% increase. The 1250% surge from the low point to the high point has hit a historic high.

The Trump administration has stated that this is part of its "Don-roe Doctrine." This is a modernized version of the 19th-century Monroe Doctrine metaphor, an advanced version of MAGA. Trump declared on Saturday: "America's dominance in the Western Hemisphere will never be questioned again."

According to the latest statements from Trump and his senior officials, the following countries and regions could be the next targets:

· Greenland: Trump emphasized the need for the US to have Greenland to ensure national security. Market predictions show that the likelihood of the US "controlling any part of Greenland" has increased from less than 20% last week to 38%. The Danish government is currently in a "full crisis mode."

· Cuba: Secretary of State Pompeo warned that the Cuban government is "in big trouble." He pointed out that Maduro's bodyguards are Cuban, and 32 Cuban officers died in the Venezuela operation. Trump stated: "Cuba looks like it's going down."

· Colombia: Trump directly threatened, saying, "Colombia is also very sick, managed by a patient who likes to make cocaine and sell it to the US, and he won't be doing that much longer." When asked if military action was being considered, Trump replied, "Sounds good."

· Iran: After Trump threatened to "hit them hard," the prediction market believes that there is a 54% likelihood of Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei stepping down before next year.

How Did These Countries Respond?

Colombian President Petro has taken a tough stance, reportedly saying in November 2025, "Brother, if you want to put me in jail, see if you can." Most recently, he announced that any commander who prefers the American flag over the Colombian flag will be immediately discharged from the military.

The Cuban government held a two-day national mourning for the 32 officers who died in the Venezuela operation, apparently heeding Rubio's warning.

Meme and Prediction Markets: Ahead of the Curve

In situations like this, the Meme market and Prediction market are always the quickest to react.

On Polymarket, the market sensitivity for "Trump to Acquire Greenland by 2027" is high. The market probability has increased from about 7% on December 28 to the current 14%, a 7-percentage-point increase, with trading volume exceeding $2.1 million. This timing of the increase also coincides with the Venezuela operation.

The market for "The U.S. Will Strike Cuba by xx Date" shows a step-like probability distribution: only 2% by January 31, 8% by March 31, but a jump to 20% for a strike by the end of the year. The loss of 32 Cuban officers in the Venezuela operation could be the catalyst for U.S. action.

The market for "The U.S. Will Strike Colombia by xx Date" shows a more aggressive probability curve: 3% by the end of January, 7% by the end of March, and 15% by the end of the year.

Meanwhile, related Memes have emerged, such as the Pentagon Pizza Watch (PPW); this is a logo of a glowing pizza pattern suspended above the green Pentagon, with missile decorative elements.

Based on market performance, PPW saw a 78.20% increase in one week, with a 24-hour trading volume of $114,369 and a market cap ranking of 3689th.

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