Tom Lee Analyst: ETH to Dip to $1367, But Implies 81% Return in Next 12 Months
By: theblockbeats.news|2026/02/19 21:04:51
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BlockBeats News, February 20th, Sean Farrell, Digital Asset Strategist at Fundstrat, under the supervision of Tom Lee, released the latest Ethereum analysis. The current average cost of ETH is $2241, while the current price is $1934, meaning investors are at an average loss of 22%. Comparing the current decline to historical lows, in 2022, investors' average maximum loss was 39%, and in 2025, the average maximum loss was 21%. Applying these two data points to the current average cost of $2241 implies that ETH could drop to a low of $1367 or $1770.
Based on the analysis of the percentile of realized losses since 2017 for future returns, the current average loss is at a historically high level of 9%, indicating a high level of loss. The implied 12-month return is +81%. This suggests that the Ethereum price is approaching a bottom. In the long run, Ethereum's risk/reward ratio appears to be positive.
Tom Lee himself retweeted the analysis, stating that this helps consider investor fund flows and position allocation near the bottom.
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